GCC banks poised for growth in 2025 amid economic shifts

Saudi Arabia and the UAE are expected to see non-oil growth exceed 3.4 percent, fueled by reforms and investment.  Reuters/File
Saudi Arabia and the UAE are expected to see non-oil growth exceed 3.4 percent, fueled by reforms and investment. Reuters/File
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GCC banks poised for growth in 2025 amid economic shifts

GCC banks poised for growth in 2025 amid economic shifts
  • Diversification efforts, digital innovation power sector’s growth: report
  • Saudi Arabia and the UAE are expected to see non-oil growth exceed 3.4 percent, fueled by reforms and investment

RIYADH: The banking sector in the Gulf Cooperation Council is set for robust growth in 2025, supported by economic diversification efforts and favorable global financial conditions.

According to accounting firm Ernst & Young, economic expansion across the region — projected at 3.5 percent in 2025 — is driven by large-scale infrastructure projects, growing non-oil activity, and favorable monetary policies.

These projections align with numerous other rating agencies, including S&P Global, which stated in its latest banking sector outlook that financial institutions in the GCC region “are doing well” and expect their strong performance to continue throughout the year.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE, the two largest GCC economies, are expected to see non-oil growth exceed 3.4 percent, fueled by reforms and investment. “As we go into the first quarter of 2025, the GCC banking industry should remain strong due to considerable capital cushions, healthy asset quality indicators, and adequate profitability,” said the EY MENA Financial Services Leader, Mayur Pau.

Credit expansion

Saudi banks are witnessing steady credit expansion, propelled by Vision 2030 projects and a surge in private sector lending. “The country’s planned megaprojects will play a role in creating enormous business and lending opportunities for banks this year,” the report said.




Mayur Pau, EY MENA Financial Services leader. Supplied

Additionally, the Kingdom’s economic diversification strategies are providing long-term stability, with lending growth expected to remain robust throughout 2025.

The UAE banking sector is experiencing sustained growth in lending activities, aided by relaxed monetary policies and strong corporate and retail deposit inflows. “Asset quality will remain strong, as banks capitalize on high profits to provision for legacy loans,” the release stated. Credit demand, coupled with reduced borrowing costs, is set to drive further expansion.

Banks in Qatar remain well-capitalized, with strong Tier 1 and capital adequacy ratios exceeding regulatory thresholds. The ongoing expansion of Qatar’s liquefied natural gas sector is expected to generate fresh credit opportunities. 

“Domestic funding avenues are predicted to adequately finance credit expansion this year,” the report added.

In Oman, banking sector growth aligns with the country’s Vision 2040 diversification initiatives, which are boosting lending activity. 

Bahrain’s financial industry is benefiting from an uptick in private-sector investments and the completion of refinery upgrades. 

Kuwait’s banking sector maintains stability, backed by high foreign assets, accounting for 30.4 percent of total local bank assets.

Global factors

The US Federal Reserve’s 50 basis point rate cut in November has influenced GCC economies to follow suit, easing inflationary pressures and supporting economic activity. 

“This year, banks will pursue higher yields, as rate cuts tend to be reflected in their books with delayed effects,” the report explained. With Brent crude prices expected to remain above $74 per barrel through 2027, fiscal surpluses are anticipated to support financial stability.

GCC banks are accelerating their digital transformation efforts with increasing adoption of artificial intelligence, open banking, and digital currencies. 

“To fortify their profitability and improve cost optimization, banks should harness the power of digitization, generative AI, and API integration while committing to a sustainable future,” Pau added.


$1.06bn deal signed to launch new logistics zone in Riyadh’s Falcon City

$1.06bn deal signed to launch new logistics zone in Riyadh’s Falcon City
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$1.06bn deal signed to launch new logistics zone in Riyadh’s Falcon City

$1.06bn deal signed to launch new logistics zone in Riyadh’s Falcon City
  • Deal aims to strengthen the Kingdom’s position as a global logistics hub
  • Zone will serve as a comprehensive hub catering to the increasing demand for custom-designed warehouses

RIYADH: A new SR4 billion ($1.06 billion) logistics zone will be created within Falcon City in northern Riyadh, after a deal between Saudi firms SAL and Sela Co.

The development will provide integrated infrastructure combining Class A warehouses, multimodal connectivity, and smart logistics technologies to enhance supply chain efficiency and facilitate the faster movement of goods locally and regionally. 

The deal, which aims to strengthen the Kingdom’s position as a global logistics hub, is backed by the Private Sector Partnership Program, also known as Shareek.

The agreement comes as the Kingdom plans to invest more than SR1 trillion in the logistics sector by 2030, with the number of facilities already up by 267 percent since 2021.

Commenting on the Falcon City deal, Omar bin Talal Hariri, CEO of SAL, said: “The SAL Logistics Zone is not just a development project — it is a model for the future of integrated logistics services. 

“We are leveraging technology and sustainability to create an advanced operational environment that attracts investment and supports the Kingdom’s economic growth.” 

The partnership for the 1.5 million sq. meter logistics zone was signed in Riyadh in the presence of Minister of Transport and Logistics Services Saleh Al-Jasser, Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih, and CEO of the Shareek Program Center Abdulaziz bin Abdulrahman Al-Arifi, along with senior officials, investors, and business leaders. 

The zone will serve as a comprehensive hub catering to the increasing demand for custom-designed warehouses.

“Falcon City is more than just a development project; it is an integrated economic destination aimed at providing a modern business environment that supports multiple industries,” Rakan Al-Harthy, managing director of Sela, said.

He further emphasized that the partnership with SAL Logistics Services will facilitate the establishment of state-of-the-art facilities that cater to local and international companies and enhance business and investment flow.

This logistics zone significantly enhances the company’s capabilities due to its strategic location near King Khalid International Airport, major highways, and railway networks. 

Falcon City spans 14.4 million sq. meters and will feature the Riyadh Exhibition and Convention Center, as well as a modern logistics zone designed to attract major global companies, an aviation runway, and an aircraft maintenance hub.

The development also includes economic, commercial, and residential zones, as well as hospitality and entertainment areas and an outlet mall.

This strategic partnership directly supports Saudi Vision 2030 by enhancing logistics connectivity, stimulating local and international investments, and developing modern infrastructure to attract businesses and investors.

It also reinforces the Kingdom’s role in regional and international trade, driving sustainable economic growth and positioning the country as a leading logistics powerhouse.


Saudi Arabia to build 16 new water purification plants

Saudi Arabia to build 16 new water purification plants
Updated 18 March 2025
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Saudi Arabia to build 16 new water purification plants

Saudi Arabia to build 16 new water purification plants

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is set to bolster its water security efforts with a new deal to build and operate 16 decentralized purification plants across the Kingdom. 

The Saudi Water Authority and the National Water Co. signed the deal to improve drinking water availability and advance sustainable groundwater desalination technologies. The plants are expected to produce over 18,000 cubic meters of water per day, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

Saudi Arabia currently treats and reuses 21 percent of its wastewater, with plans to increase this to 70 percent by 2030. The new facilities are designed to align with this goal, contributing to both environmental sustainability and improved service delivery. 

The initiative forms part of SWA’s broader strategy to advance integrated water resource management, boost sector sustainability, and modernize infrastructure.  

“It also aims to maximize the benefit from the engineering and technical expertise and capabilities of the authority’s staff, and to implement the latest technologies and innovations in cooperation with global equipment manufacturers to ensure the highest levels of operational efficiency and sustainability,” the SPA report added.   

The purification plants are expected to serve over 80,000 people, supported by integrated water treatment and distribution systems. These systems are designed to enhance the reliability of water supply in regions facing resource constraints, marking a significant step toward fortifying essential services. 

Saudi Arabia continues to face water scarcity challenges due to its arid climate and limited natural water resources. Tackling this issue has driven the Kingdom to adopt innovative solutions for water production, management, and distribution.  

Over the past five decades, the Kingdom has undergone a rapid transformation in its water sector, evolving from its first desalination initiative in 1970 to the establishment of the SWA.  

Today, SWA plays a central role in regulation, oversight, and strategic planning under the Ministry of Environment, Water, and Agriculture, ensuring sector sustainability, adherence to international standards, and continuous improvement in service quality.  

Today, SWA plays a pivotal role in regulation, oversight, and strategic planning under the umbrella of the Ministry of Environment, Water, and Agriculture, ensuring sector sustainability, compliance with international standards, and continuous improvement in service quality. 


Tabuk entrepreneurs, freelancers receive $61.2m from Social Development Bank in 2024

Tabuk entrepreneurs, freelancers receive $61.2m from Social Development Bank in 2024
Updated 18 March 2025
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Tabuk entrepreneurs, freelancers receive $61.2m from Social Development Bank in 2024

Tabuk entrepreneurs, freelancers receive $61.2m from Social Development Bank in 2024

JEDDAH: Entrepreneurs and freelancers in Tabuk received over SR230 million ($61.2 million) in funding from the Social Development Bank in 2024, boosting established businesses and independent work in the region.

The government-owned financial institution announced that in 2024 it provided over SR75 million in financing to more than 200 businesses in the northwestern region and helped 4,000 freelancers with funding, totaling over SR155 million, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

SDB’s Regional Director Hamed Al-Anzi highlighted that this support is part of the bank’s efforts to enhance entrepreneurship and help individuals achieve financial independence through their own businesses.

The support aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives, which includes raising the contribution of small and medium enterprises to 35 percent of the gross domestic product by the end of the decade. 

Speaking during a discussion panel at the “Diwaniya of the Chamber” event organized by the Tabuk Chamber of Commerce, Al-Anzi emphasized that SDB is working to offer a range of financial products targeting youth of both genders who wish to launch their own businesses, as well as specialized programs to support SMEs, which, he said, play a vital role in the development of the national economy.

He also emphasized that SDB and the National Entrepreneurship Institute, known as Riyadah, are partnering to empower young entrepreneurs to launch their businesses, creating job opportunities for the local community.

The regional director further encouraged aspiring business owners to make use of the digital platforms provided by supporting entities, which offer easy access to financing, training programs, and specialized consultations.

The session, attended by several regional businesspeople, concluded with a discussion on the challenges of freelancing and the requirements for starting new companies, highlighting the positive impact these initiatives have on Tabuk’s growing economy.

Supporting freelancers is crucial for the nation’s economy. In 2023, independent workers contributed SR72.5 billion to the GDP, representing 2 percent of the country’s total economic output.

As freelancing continues to grow, with over 2.25 million individuals registered on freelance platforms as of September, it plays an increasingly vital role in diversifying income sources and strengthening the national economy.


Fitch affirms Qatar’s rating at AA, outlook stable

Fitch affirms Qatar’s rating at AA, outlook stable
Updated 18 March 2025
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Fitch affirms Qatar’s rating at AA, outlook stable

Fitch affirms Qatar’s rating at AA, outlook stable

RIYADH: Qatar has retained its AA credit rating from Fitch Ratings, with a stable outlook, supported by the country’s expanding liquefied natural gas production capacity and high per capita income. 

The US-based agency highlighted Qatar’s strong fiscal position, citing one of the world’s highest gross domestic product per capita figures and a flexible public finance framework that bolsters the country’s resilience.

An AA rating signals very low credit risk and a robust ability to meet financial commitments, even in the face of foreseeable economic pressures.

Qatar’s strong credit rating aligns with the broader trend in the Middle East, where countries are steadily diversifying their economies to reduce reliance on crude revenues.

In February, Fitch affirmed Saudi Arabia’s IDR at A+ with a stable outlook, while the UAE received a rating of AA-. The agency also affirmed Kuwait’s AA- rating in March. 

“Qatar’s ‘AA’ rating reflects one of the world’s highest GDP per capita, our expectation that additional gas production will strengthen public finances and a flexible public finance structure,” said Fitch Ratings. 

The report highlighted Qatar’s plans to expand LNG production capacity from 77 million tonnes per annum to 110 mtpa in 2026 and 126 mtpa by 2027, eventually reaching 142 mtpa by 2030. 

According to Fitch, state-owned Qatar Energy’s North Field projects will support both hydrocarbon and non-hydrocarbon growth from 2025 to 2030. 

North Field, which holds nearly 10 percent of the world’s known LNG reserves, lies off the northeast shore of the Qatar peninsula, covering more than 6,000 sq. km — roughly half the country’s land area. 

“Funding plans for the 2030 phase will depend on hydrocarbon prices at that time but we expect it is likely that most of the project will be funded with internal resources,” added Fitch. 

The agency also projected that Qatar’s government debt-to-GDP ratio will fall to about 43 percent by 2027, down from 49 percent in 2024 and a peak of 85 percent in 2020. 

Fitch noted that Qatar’s government is expected to refinance most upcoming external market debt maturities and pay down external loans using a moderate budget surplus, excluding income from its sovereign wealth fund investments. 

Qatar’s sovereign net foreign assets per GDP reached $398 billion in 2024, up from $347 billion in 2023, reaffirming the country’s strong financial standing. 

However, the report also outlined key constraints that could impact Qatar’s rating in the future, including its heavy reliance on hydrocarbons, higher government debt-to-GDP ratio compared to regional peers, and regional stability risks. 

“Qatar has broadly normalized its relations with the GCC in recent years, although points of tensions remain. Qatar continues to position itself as a mediator in relations between Western powers and Iran and Hamas, among others,” Fitch noted. 

It added: “High tensions in the region and uncertainty around US Middle East policy contribute to the persistence of regional geopolitical risks, which could impact Qatar, although it has so far not been directly affected.” 


Egypt Suez Canal monthly revenue losses at around $800m, El-Sisi says

Egypt Suez Canal monthly revenue losses at around $800m, El-Sisi says
Updated 18 March 2025
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Egypt Suez Canal monthly revenue losses at around $800m, El-Sisi says

Egypt Suez Canal monthly revenue losses at around $800m, El-Sisi says

CAIRO: Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi has announced that the monthly losses of the Suez Canal revenues reached around $800 million due to the regional “situation,” as Yemen’s Houthis have been attacking vessels in the Red Sea.

The Iran-backed Houthis have attacked vessels in the Red Sea area since November 2023 in support of Palestinians in Gaza during the war with Israel, disrupting global shipping by forcing vessels to avoid the nearby Suez Canal and reroute trade around Africa, raising shipping costs.

The Egyptian presidency statement did not directly refer to the Houthis, but El-Sisi said in December the disruption cost Egypt around $7 billion in less revenue from the Suez Canal in 2024.

The Yemeni group recently vowed to resume attacking US vessels in the Red Sea, in response to deadly US strikes on Yemen that killed at least 53 people on Saturday, in the biggest US military operation in the Middle East since President Donald Trump took office in January.

They also said last week they would resume attacks on Israeli ships passing through the Red Sea if Israel did not lift a block on aid entering Gaza.