Real estate becoming a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification, experts say

Real estate becoming a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification, experts say
The residential real estate sector has been growing at a 4.5 percent compound annual growth rate since 2017. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 09 November 2024
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Real estate becoming a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification, experts say

Real estate becoming a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification, experts say

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate market has rapidly emerged as a key pillar in the Kingdom’s quest for long-term sustainability and economic growth, benefiting local residents and foreign investors alike, experts have told Arab News.

Under Vision 2030, the Kingdom is reshaping the sector through strategic investments, sweeping reforms, and mega-projects that are not only enhancing the nation’s infrastructure but also creating new opportunities.

A central objective of the initiative is to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy by developing non-oil sectors, making it more resilient to global market fluctuations.

Real estate, as part of this strategy, is playing an increasingly important role in stimulating growth across the country, with tourism, entertainment, and the hospitality sector all assisting in reshaping the housing and commercial space landscape.

The Saudi government has enacted a series of reforms designed to enhance real estate development and attract private investment.

Key among these is the introduction of the Saudi Real Estate Refinance Co., established in 2017 to provide liquidity to the mortgage market and increase access to financing for homebuyers.

In an interview with Arab News, Sally Menassa, partner at international management consulting firm Arthur D. Little Middle East, said: “The Kingdom’s openness to foreign ownership in real estate, coupled with incentives for international companies, is expected to fuel increased FDI.”

Garvan McCarthy, chief investment officer at consulting firm Mercer, told Arab News the Vision 2030 goal of boosting private sector contributions has led to an increase in real estate activity.

“Reforms in regulations, such as easing foreign ownership restrictions and introducing public-private partnerships, have been undertaken to create a more attractive investment climate,” he added.

Another development is the introduction of the White Land Tax, which imposes a 2.5 percent tax on undeveloped residential land.

This is aimed at increasing the supply of developable areas and encouraging private sector investment in housing projects.

Additionally, government initiatives like Ejar, a rental services app, are enhancing transparency in the rental market and encouraging more investments in the tenancy sector.

Recent investments have been heavily directed toward urban development projects, including modern infrastructure such as roads, airports, and public transportation networks.

These investments are driving up property values in both urban and suburban areas, particularly in newly developed zones that are set to become key economic hubs.

Real estate as a catalyst for homeownership

Another core component of Vision 2030 is the government’s effort to raise homeownership rates among Saudi citizens to 70 percent by 2030.

In pursuit of this goal, Saudi Arabia has launched several initiatives aimed at providing affordable housing solutions and easing access to financing.

The Sakani program aims to make homeownership more attainable for Saudi families by providing financial support, facilitating loans, and subsidizing housing.

This initiative has significantly reduced barriers to homeownership, stimulating residential real estate development.

The residential real estate sector has been growing at a 4.5 percent compound annual growth rate since 2017, with projections indicating it will double by 2028, reaching SR51 billion ($13.5 billion), according to Menassa.

McCarthy added: “Since the introduction of these reforms, homeownership in Saudi Arabia has seen a substantial increase, driven by both governmental support and private sector development.”

The percentage of homeownership has exceeded 63 percent, up from 47 percent in 2016, reflecting the effectiveness of the Sakani program and other related initiatives.

Mega projects shaping the future of real estate

Several landmark real estate projects have become symbols of Vision 2030’s far-reaching impact. These projects are not only reshaping Saudi Arabia’s urban landscape but also positioning the Kingdom as a significant player in the global real estate market.

NEOM

Located in northwestern Saudi Arabia, NEOM is one of the most ambitious projects under Vision 2030. This multi-billion-dollar smart city aims to be a global hub for technology, sustainability, and innovation and provides opportunities for real estate development.

Menassa described NEOM as a “key aspect of this real estate transformation,” noting its role in the broader Vision 2030 agenda.

She pointed out that the development will incorporate smart city technologies, with a focus on industries such as energy, water, and biotechnology, as well as food, advanced manufacturing, and entertainment.

This forward-thinking approach is expected to attract both domestic and international real estate investors looking to capitalize on NEOM’s innovative urban vision.

Qiddiya

Qiddiya, another flagship project under Vision 2030, is positioned to become a global destination for entertainment, sports, and the arts. Situated near Riyadh, this expansive development will feature theme parks, concert venues, sports arenas, and cultural institutions.

The project’s focus on entertainment and tourism is expected to drive significant residential and commercial real estate development in the surrounding areas.

McCarthy added that Qiddiya is poised to transform the region into a vibrant entertainment capital, drawing millions of visitors annually and offering extensive opportunities for investors in hotels, commercial spaces, and residential properties.

The Red Sea

The Red Sea Project is one of the world’s most ambitious tourism initiatives, aiming to develop a luxury tourism destination along Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea coastline. Covering 28,000 sq. km, the project will include 50 hotels, 1,000 residential properties, and a host of leisure facilities.

Menassa pointed out that the project involves “developing real estate in the form of boutique hotels, museums, and cultural venues that enhance visitor experiences while respecting and preserving historical significance.”

This high-end tourism hub is expected to drive growth in the luxury residential and hospitality sectors, contributing significantly to Saudi Arabia’s tourism and real estate markets.

The future of Saudi real estate

As Saudi Arabia moves toward becoming a more diversified and sustainable economy, the real estate sector will continue to play a critical role in this transformation.

According to a report by King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification will lead to an increase in high-value industries such as advanced manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy, all of which will drive further demand for commercial real estate.

Menassa observed that the Kingdom’s commercial real estate market size is estimated to grow “at a strong CAGR of around 8.6 percent to 2028.”

McCarthy added: “As Saudi Arabia diversifies into advanced manufacturing, renewable energy, and pharmaceuticals, commercial real estate should benefit from the demand for specialized facilities.”

Moreover, as sectors such as tourism, entertainment, and retail flourish under Vision 2030, demand for hospitality and retail spaces is expected to rise substantially.

The ongoing transformation is positioning Saudi Arabia as a key player in the global real estate and tourism industries, with Riyadh at the heart of its ambitious vision.


Oil Updates — prices decline amid rising US crude inventories, Sino-US tariff war

Oil Updates — prices decline amid rising US crude inventories, Sino-US tariff war
Updated 13 sec ago
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Oil Updates — prices decline amid rising US crude inventories, Sino-US tariff war

Oil Updates — prices decline amid rising US crude inventories, Sino-US tariff war

SINGAPORE: Oil prices slid on Wednesday as rising stockpiles in the US and market worries about a new Sino-US trade war offset President Donald Trump’s renewed push to eliminate Iranian crude exports.

Brent crude futures were down 39 cents, or 0.51 percent, at $75.81 a barrel by 7:27 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) lost 26 cents, or 0.36 percent, to $72.44.

Oil on Tuesday traded in a wide range, with WTI falling at one point by 3 percent, its lowest since Dec. 31, after China announced tariffs on US imports of oil, liquefied natural gas and coal in retaliation to US levies on Chinese exports.

Prices rebounded, however, after Trump restored the “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran to curtail its nuclear program he enacted in his first term that cut Iranian crude exports to zero.

Weighing down the market on Wednesday was the higher-than-expected US crude inventories data overnight, said Jun Rong Yeap, a market strategist at IG.

Crude stocks rose by 5.03 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 31, according to market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures.

Gasoline inventories rose by 5.43 million barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 6.98 million barrels, the API reported, according to the sources.

Official US government oil inventory data is due to be released at 6:30 p.m. Saudi time on Wednesday.

Rising crude and fuel stockpiles in the world’s biggest oil consumer signal consumption weakness, adding to investor worries about the impact of tarrifs on the global economic and energy demand outlooks.

The impact of China’s retaliatory tariffs on US energy imports will be limited “given that neither global supply nor demand of these commodities are changed by China’s tariffs,” analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note on Tuesday.

Both countries will be able to find alternative markets, the note said.

As for Iran, Trump on Tuesday restored his “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran that includes efforts to drive its oil exports down to zero in order to stop Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

While Trump said he was open to a deal with Iran, he signed a presidential memorandum re-imposing Washington’s tough policy on Iran. The plan could impact about 1.5 million barrels per day of oil that the country exports, analysts at ANZ said on Wednesday, citing shiptracking data.

“The clampdown on Iran may be what is needed to stabilize bearish sentiments for oil prices for now and there may room for further recovery, at least in the near term,” said IG’s Yeap. 


Saudi Arabia’s Debt Capital Market set to reach $500bn by end of 2025: Fitch Ratings

Saudi Arabia’s Debt Capital Market set to reach $500bn by end of 2025: Fitch Ratings
Updated 04 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s Debt Capital Market set to reach $500bn by end of 2025: Fitch Ratings

Saudi Arabia’s Debt Capital Market set to reach $500bn by end of 2025: Fitch Ratings

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Debt Capital Market is expected to hit $500 billion by the end of 2025, fueled by the Kingdom's economic diversification efforts under Vision 2030, according to Fitch Ratings.

In its latest report, Fitch highlighted several factors contributing to this growth, including the government’s need for deficit funding, maturing obligations, and continued reforms.

The DCM, which involves the trading of securities like bonds and promissory notes, serves as a key mechanism for raising long-term capital for both businesses and governments.

Fitch also noted that the DCM in the Gulf Cooperation Council region had surpassed the $1 trillion mark by November 2024, bolstered by strong oil revenues. The agency predicts continued growth, with the GCC region expected to remain one of the largest emerging-market issuers of dollar-denominated debt through 2025.

“Saudi Arabia’s sukuk market maintains a strong credit profile, with 97.4 percent of Fitch-rated Saudi sukuk rated investment-grade and 98 percent of issuers holding a stable outlook. Notably, no Fitch-rated Saudi sukuk or bonds defaulted in 2024,” said Bashar Al-Natoor, global head of Islamic finance at Fitch Ratings.

He added: “2025 has started strong, with a growing pipeline of issuances. We expect the market to surpass $500 billion by year end, driven by Vision 2030 initiatives, robust government support, and favorable funding conditions.”

Fitch’s analysis further said that Saudi Arabia became the largest dollar-denominated debt issuer in emerging markets (outside of China) and the world’s largest sukuk issuer in 2024. The Kingdom’s DCM grew by 20 percent year on year in 2024, reaching $432.5 billion in outstanding debt.

The report also emphasized the increasing importance of environmental, social, and governance debt in the region, with $18.6 billion in outstanding ESG-related bonds in 2024.

Saudi banks have significantly expanded their international DCM activities since 2020, aligning with their growth strategies and foreign-currency requirements. Additionally, corporates are diversifying their funding sources, moving beyond traditional bank loans, according to Fitch.

In another report, Fitch projected that global ESG sukuk issuances will exceed $50 billion in outstanding debt by 2025, driven by major Islamic finance markets like Saudi Arabia and Indonesia. The agency noted a 23 percent year-on-year growth in global ESG sukuk, which reached $45.2 billion in 2024, outpacing the 16 percent growth in global ESG bonds.


Saudi Cabinet approves cooperation agreement with WEF to secure minerals for development

Saudi Cabinet approves cooperation agreement with WEF to secure minerals for development
Updated 04 February 2025
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Saudi Cabinet approves cooperation agreement with WEF to secure minerals for development

Saudi Cabinet approves cooperation agreement with WEF to secure minerals for development

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Cabinet has authorized the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources to sign a cooperation agreement with the World Economic Forum to secure critical materials for global development.

According to the Saudi Press Agency, the Cabinet — chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman — gave the green light for the deal among a host of decisions.

Strengthening the mining sector is a crucial goal outlined in the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 agenda, as the nation is steadily spearheading its economic diversification journey by reducing its reliance on crude revenues. 

Speaking at the Future Minerals Forum in Riyadh in January, Alkhorayef said that Saudi Arabia seeks to promote exploration opportunities across 5,000 sq. km of mineralized belts in 2025, aligned with the Kingdom’s plans to establish mining as the third pillar of its industrial economy. 

At that time, the minister added that Saudi Arabia’s mining sector is the fastest growing globally, with the country holding an estimated mineral potential worth $2.5 trillion. 


New International Retail Council launched in Riyadh

New International Retail Council launched in Riyadh
Updated 04 February 2025
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New International Retail Council launched in Riyadh

New International Retail Council launched in Riyadh

RIYADH: An International Retail Council designed to unite top experts, decision-makers, and industry stakeholders has been launched at an industry event in Riyadh.

Announced at the Retail Leaders Circle Global Forum, event chairman Panos Linardos said the new body will tackle upcoming challenges and opportunities facing the sector across the globe.

This year’s gathering, taking place from Feb. 4 to 5, comes as the Kingdom’s retail sector continues to show strong resilience and sustained growth, with total sales reaching SR37.4 billion ($9.97 billion) in the third quarter of 2024, despite ongoing global economic uncertainties. 

Retail sales in the Kingdom are forecast to reach $161.4 billion by 2028, according to data platform Statista, while the e-commerce sector is projected to surpass $13.2 billion by 2025.

Setting out the importance of the new council, Linardos said: “The IRC is not just another industry initiative — it is a forward-thinking response to an evolving global landscape.” 

He added: “Retail is more interconnected than ever, yet faces growing complexity in regulation, technology, and consumer behavior. The IRC will unite leaders, visionaries, and experts to facilitate global dialogue, drive innovation, and shape policies that will define the industry’s next era.” 

During his speech, the chairman highlighted that the IRC will initially focus on four key pillars shaping the future of commerce: luxury goods, retail real estate, cross-border trade, and grocery businesses.

Linardos also shed light on how geopolitical changes, economic volatility, supply chain challenges, and the rapid growth of artificial intelligence, as well as digital commerce, are transforming the retail industry at an unprecedented rate. 

“The rules of global trade are being rewritten, cross-border commerce is evolving, and consumer expectations are shifting faster than ever before. In this moment of transformation, the need for collaborative leadership, innovation, and a strategic vision for the future of retail has never been greater,” he said.

The chairman added that the discussions at the forum will reflect shared goals and help lay the groundwork for actionable solutions.

Held under the theme “Rebuilding a Shared Future,” the event commenced with the “Business Outlook: Navigating A New Global Order” session. 

It explored how geopolitical tensions, economic instability, and fast-paced technological advancements are affecting global commerce, with international business leaders sharing strategies to turn volatility into opportunity while fostering resilience and innovation.

Another session titled “A New Leadership Order: Building Growth in Turbulent Times” followed, highlighting the importance of leadership in overcoming economic challenges, boosting productivity, and promoting sustainable growth.

Industry experts shared strategies during the session for navigating complex business environments and using strategic adaptability to succeed in a constantly changing marketplace.

Discussions also centered on the transformative impact of social commerce, which is changing how consumers shop, engage with brands, and interact online.

With e-commerce in the Middle East expected to reach $57 billion by 2026, the importance of marketplaces in meeting shifting consumer expectations is crucial. 

Chief Content Officer at EMARKETER Zia Daniell Wigder presented a report created in collaboration with the RLC Global Forum which offered a data-driven roadmap for the future of e-commerce in the Gulf Cooperation Council, providing valuable insights into consumer trends, market dynamics, and opportunities for sustainable growth in the region.

AI was another key focus of the day, with several sessions exploring its transformative impact on the retail sector. 

Industry leaders discussed how the technology is being leveraged to enhance personalization, optimize supply chains, and improve operational efficiencies at scale.

According to a new report released by Knight Frank, Riyadh and Jeddah are driving a major transformation in Saudi Arabia’s lifestyle retail sector, reshaping the retail scene with 394,900 sq. meters of upcoming developments, all scheduled for completion by 2027.

The report further disclosed that the planned developments include food and beverage outlets, entertainment options, and lively public spaces.

Both major Saudi cities currently provide 670,500 sq. meters of lifestyle retail space, reflecting a 12 percent surge over the past year.

In Riyadh, the average lease rate for retail spaces is SR2,360 per sq. meter, with a 96 percent occupancy rate, while in Jeddah, lease rates average SR2,030 per sq. meter, with an occupancy rate of 70 percent.


E-commerce share in Saudi Arabia’s retail sector to hit 46% by 2030: Visa official 

E-commerce share in Saudi Arabia’s retail sector to hit 46% by 2030: Visa official 
Updated 04 February 2025
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E-commerce share in Saudi Arabia’s retail sector to hit 46% by 2030: Visa official 

E-commerce share in Saudi Arabia’s retail sector to hit 46% by 2030: Visa official 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s consumer retail spending is projected to experience significant growth in the coming years, with e-commerce expected to account for 46 percent of the overall retail sector by 2030, according to a Visa executive.

Speaking to Arab News at the Retail Leaders Circle in Riyadh on Feb. 4, Ali Bailoun, regional general manager of Visa, highlighted that Saudi Arabia currently represents 44 percent of the total retail spending in the Gulf Cooperation Council region.

Bailoun’s remarks reflect Saudi Arabia’s ongoing shift toward a more diversified, digitally-driven economy, where e-commerce plays a pivotal role.

E-commerce in Saudi Arabia

Earlier this month, data from the Ministry of Commerce revealed that Saudi Arabia’s e-commerce sector continues to show strong growth. As of the fourth quarter of 2024, the Kingdom now has 40,953 registered e-commerce businesses, marking a 10 percent year-on-year increase.

“In line with Vision 2030, we see Saudi growing or doubling the payment volume by 2030. Even if you look at e-commerce, we expect e-commerce to grow to 46 percent by 2030. So, we see growth and we see potential. And you can see this on the ground,” said Bailoun. 

He added: “Today, you can go anywhere in Saudi Arabia, and you can use your card and make any payments in any retail shop.” 

Bailoun noted that e-commerce in Saudi Arabia currently accounts for 29 percent of all consumer retail payments in 2024, and is projected to rise to 46 percent by the end of this decade.

He also highlighted that cross-border transactions represent 15 percent of consumer retail payments in Saudi Arabia for 2024.

Supporting these insights, a September 2024 report from Saudi Arabia’s Small and Medium Enterprises Authority indicated that the Kingdom’s retail sector is poised to double between 2020 and 2025, with an annual compound growth rate of 15 percent.

Furthermore, a December report from Statista projected that credit card penetration in Saudi Arabia will reach 46.83 percent, continuing a trend of growth observed over the past 15 years.

Technological advancements

Bailoun suggested that data should be used wisely by retailers to enhance the growth of cross-border business. 

“My recommendation always to retailers is data. You need to find a way to collect and optimize your data and then customize these solutions,” said Bailoun. 

He added: “You need to work with data, not only yourself. You need to look at the market. You need to look at the region and start building up on the data you have to customize the solutions or build up these solutions.” 

The Visa official further said that the implementation of advanced technologies like Artificial Intelligence is also crucial to elevate the growth of both physical and e-commerce retail sectors. 

“Today when you look at social media, sometimes you like something and you read more about it. Then it becomes it pops up in different areas. It is all AI,” he said. 

A recent report by market research firm IMARC echoed similar sentiments, emphasizing the growing role of technology in shaping the e-commerce retail sector.

According to the report, the increasing use of data analytics and AI algorithms to personalize shopping experiences is a key driver of the market. “The expanding use of data to recommend products based on a user’s browsing and purchase history is making it easier for customers to discover items they may be interested in,” the report stated.

IMARC also highlighted that Saudi Arabia’s e-commerce market was valued at $22.9 billion in 2024, with projections indicating it will reach $708.7 billion by 2033, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 12.8 percent.

Visa’s Saudi operations

He also talked about Visa’s close cooperation with STC Bank, which recently received a non-objection certificate from the Saudi Central Bank to commence its banking operations in the Kingdom. 

“We are a payment technology network. We work and we enable all players in the ecosystem; be it a traditional bank, digital bank, a wallet, a merchant, or maybe a telco provider. We work and we operate and enable the whole ecosystem,” said Bailoun. 

He added: “STC was a wallet. They’ve converted to become a digital bank. We’ve been working with them when they were a wallet, we will continue working with them when they become a bank again. We enable them to do payment credentials, which means they can issue a card under the Visa brand, and they go and do payments anywhere and everywhere in the world.” 

Calling Saudi Arabia one of the strategic markets of Visa, Bailoun also outlined some of the major initiatives taken by the payment card services company in the Kingdom. 

In October 2024, Visa opened its fifth innovation center globally in Riyadh in the King Abdullah Financial District. 

“Today, if you have a problem statement. If you have anything you want to solve or cater for, we sit down together with many partners, we co-create and come up with a solution in that innovation center,” said Bailoun. 

He added: “In addition, we have some best practices and some experiences that we’ve taken from around the world; be it on the gaming, on AI or gen AI. We have something on urbanization. In the innovation center, we have also added something that will cater for the new cities the likes of Neom, the likes of Qiddiyah.” 

Bailoun also detailed Visa’s major partnerships in the Kingdom with retailers including Cenomi Retail and Marriot Bonvoy. 

“With Cenomi, we have signed a deal to work on two parts; the loyalty platform and we have also worked on something called co-brand. So, Cenomi will have a co-brand credit card. The more you spend on their card, the more loyalty you get, and then you can redeem within the group,” said the Visa official. 

He added: “Marriott Bonvoy is a group of hotels. It’s a loyalty platform, one of the big platforms globally. The card is issued in partnership with Visa and Bonvoy. So, the more you spend, the more you will get points to redeem in Bonvoy hotels.”