Saudi Arabia poised to ignite Islamic insurance boom in GCC: report

A separate analysis by UK-based consultancy GlobalData projected that Saudi Arabia’s insurance industry will grow at a compound annual rate of 5.2 percent through 2028, reaching $22.3 billion. File
A separate analysis by UK-based consultancy GlobalData projected that Saudi Arabia’s insurance industry will grow at a compound annual rate of 5.2 percent through 2028, reaching $22.3 billion. File
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Updated 14 August 2024
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Saudi Arabia poised to ignite Islamic insurance boom in GCC: report

Saudi Arabia poised to ignite Islamic insurance boom in GCC: report
  • Kingdom’s insurance market experienced significant growth of 27% in 2022 and 23% in 2023
  • Saudi authorities are actively working to reduce the number of uninsured vehicles and introduce new mandatory medical cover

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is poised to lead the expansion of Islamic insurance in the Gulf Cooperation Council, with revenues expected to exceed $20 billion in 2024, according to S&P Global. The sector is projected to grow by 15 to 20 percent next year, with the Kingdom playing a crucial role.

This follows S&P Global’s report indicating that Saudi Arabia’s insurance market experienced significant growth of 27 percent in 2022 and 23 percent in 2023, enhancing the overall performance of the region.

“We expect the Saudi market, similar to the past two years, will be the main driver of topline growth in the GCC region. This is because Saudi Arabia, the GCC region’s largest Islamic insurance market, continues to benefit from higher economic growth,” said the US-based credit rating agency.  

The report highlights that Saudi authorities are actively working to reduce the number of uninsured vehicles and introduce new mandatory medical cover, which is anticipated to further drive insurance demand and increase premium income.

A separate analysis by UK-based consultancy GlobalData projected that Saudi Arabia’s insurance industry will grow at a compound annual rate of 5.2 percent through 2028, reaching $22.3 billion. This growth, from $18.19 billion in 2024, is largely attributed to the health and motor segments, which are expected to constitute 86 percent of total gross written premiums.

In contrast, S&P Global’s report notes a decline of nearly 3 percent in the Islamic insurance market outside Saudi Arabia in 2023. This decrease was primarily due to a reduction in premium income in the UAE, the region’s second-largest Takaful market, driven by industry consolidation and rate pressures in motor and other lines.

Takaful is a form of Islamic insurance where participants pool their contributions to provide mutual protection against loss or damage, offering coverage for health, life, and general insurance requirements. 

“We expect the Takaful sector in the UAE will expand by 15 percent to 20 percent in 2024 as motor rates increased substantially over the past 12 months, particularly following this year’s major floods in Dubai and other parts of the UAE,” said the US-based agency.  

The report added: “At the same time, we anticipate that Takaful players in Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar will report more moderate growth rates of about five percent to 10 percent.”  

Stable outlook 

S&P Global noted that credit ratings for insurers in the GCC have remained broadly stable over the past 18 months. The report stated: “We do not expect any major rating actions over the next six to 12 months, as most rated insurers are sufficiently capitalized. Total shareholders’ equity in the sector increased to about $7.6 billion in 2023, from $6.6 billion in 2022, thanks to profitable earnings and several capital increases.”

However, the report cautioned that geopolitical tensions in the region and increased competition could negatively impact the prospects for both Islamic and conventional insurance providers. It highlighted that a regional escalation of the Israel-Hamas war would be economically, socially, and politically destabilizing for the entire GCC region and its banking systems.

According to the analysis, a regional escalation combined with slow global economic growth could impair revenue growth and increase investment volatility for GCC Islamic and conventional insurers alike.

“While we expect overall credit conditions for Islamic insurers will remain stable over the next 6-12 months, consolidation will likely remain relevant as many smaller and midsize Islamic insurers continue to report relatively weak earnings,” said the report. It added, “Even though we expect that the effects of the Israel–Hamas war will remain contained to the region, we note that the risk of regional escalation is increasing. Although this is not our base case, a regional escalation could impair business sentiment in the wider Middle East, including the GCC region, reduce growth prospects, and impair GCC insurers’ investment portfolios.”

Mergers and consolidation 

The report highlighted that increased competition and rising regulatory demands have already led to several mergers in the GCC insurance sector, with more expected in the future.

Consolidation is particularly notable among smaller and midsize players in Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Over the past five to six years, the number of listed Saudi insurers has decreased by about 20 percent, from 34 to 27.

S&P Global noted that mergers are likely to continue in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait, as several Islamic insurers still do not meet the required solvency capital standards.

In July, Buruj Cooperative Insurance Co. and Mediterranean and Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Co., known as MedGulf, signed a memorandum of understanding to explore a potential merger. The companies announced to the Saudi Exchange that the MoU aims to establish a framework for the strategic transaction through a share exchange offer.

The deal will involve increasing MedGulf’s capital and issuing new shares to Buruj shareholders, based on an exchange ratio to be agreed upon by both parties. If the transaction proceeds as planned, MedGulf will be the acquiring company, while Buruj will be the acquired firm.

2024 outlook

The US-based firm noted that results from the first half of 2024 suggest further improvement in net profits, following record results for GCC Islamic insurers in 2023.

The sector’s aggregate net profit in the region rose to approximately $967 million in 2023, up from about $100 million in 2022. 

“This improvement was mainly driven by the Saudi market, whose underwriting results improved and investment income increased to about $690 million in 2023, from about $345 million in 2022, substantially contributing to overall earnings,” noted S&P Global.  

The report further noted that, for the first time, all 25 of Saudi Arabia’s listed insurers reported a net profit in 2023. This follows a challenging 2021 and 2022, when more than half of the Kingdom’s insurers reported a net loss. 

“The five largest of the 25 listed insurers in Saudi Arabia generated about 73 percent of total insurance revenues in 2023, up from 69 percent in 2022. Saudi Arabia’s largest insurers, the Company for Cooperative Insurance and Bupa, had a combined market share of about 55 percent in 2023,” added S&P Global.  

Although the Saudi market reported an increase in net earnings to about $588 million in the first half of 2024, up from approximately $450 million in the same period of 2023, 14 out of 25 listed insurers in the Kingdom experienced a decline in underwriting results and profits by mid-2024. This suggests a rise in competition. 


Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears

Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears
Updated 24 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears

Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears
  • Agility’s Henadi Al-Saleh highlights that innovation, investment help countries to capitalize on disruption in global trade

LONDON: Saudi Arabia is on track to emerge as a “super-connector hub,” leveraging ongoing global trade disruption to its advantage, according to experts speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Thursday.

Henadi Al-Saleh, chair of the board of directors at Agility, a global leader in supply chain services, highlighted the Gulf Cooperation Council’s significant investments in infrastructure as a driving force behind this transformation.

She said: “(In) the past few years, the level of activity, especially around cargo, has increased several fold.

“If I look at the GCC, where we have invested in warehouses, and at the Emirates in Saudi Arabia, one of our key platforms, (they are) set to become super-connector hubs.

“These countries are investing in infrastructure, doubling down, and the level of activity is increasing.”

Al-Saleh identified digitalization as a key value in this development, saying that “in a time with so much uncertainty, having that clarity and understanding, even when changes take place, it gives me visibility. (With the digital tools) I know what the rules (are) and (how) I need to adjust.”

She added: “That’s one critical aspect in which you see these super hubs benefiting.”

While the level of trade has continued to grow since the end of the pandemic, socioeconomic and political factors have continued to disrupt industry.

Experts have said that US President Donald Trump’s second term is expected to exacerbate the disruption, with the president supporting potential trade tariffs on multiple exporting nations.

Chile’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Alberto van Klaveren acknowledged the challenges but also pointed to opportunities arising from these shifts.

He said: “There are possibilities. Some economies are opening up. We signed the CEPA Agreement (Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement) with the Emirates. We are interested in Saudi Arabia.”

He explained that the importance of diversification was not only in export markets but also in the types of goods and services traded.

However, experts cautioned that ongoing trade disruption could significantly impact the global energy transition, particularly in the green energy sector.

Al-Saleh said: “There are certain segments of people, businesses and technologies (in the green energy market) that are paying a price.

“But this is where, I think, from the private sector, it’s incumbent upon them to continue. This is irrespective of what happens today in terms of tariffs. There is a long view, and we need to all manage towards that long view.”

According to World Trade Organization data, every nation relies on imports and exports for at least 25 percent of its goods. Given this interdependence, Al-Saleh argued, trade will remain indispensable despite ongoing disruption.

She said: “You need to focus on being agile and resilient. Those are critical elements, and the way to become agile and resilient is really to diversify and invest in technology.”
 


Saudi Arabia taking bold steps to test smart technologies as it embraces AI, says industry minister

Saudi Arabia taking bold steps to test smart technologies as it embraces AI, says industry minister
Updated 24 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia taking bold steps to test smart technologies as it embraces AI, says industry minister

Saudi Arabia taking bold steps to test smart technologies as it embraces AI, says industry minister
  • Kingdom has embarked on a transformation of traditionally industrial cities into modern smart cities, Bandar Alkhorayef tells World Economic Forum
  • Nation’s businesses are increasingly adopting new technologies to help enhance productivity, he adds

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia is becoming a regional hub for testing the use of new technologies as efforts to diversify the national economy continue, the minister of industry and mineral resources, Bandar Alkhorayef, told the World Economic Forum in Davos on Thursday.

The Kingdom has established national organizations such as the Saudi Data and AI Authority and the Future Factories Program to regulate and help businesses adopt new technologies that utilize artificial intelligence, machine learning, 3D printing and robotics, he added.

This smart infrastructure market is projected to be worth $2 trillion within the next 10 years, up from an estimated $900 billion in 2024, driven by growth in the integration of physical and digital industrial operations.

Alkhorayef said Saudi Arabia places a priority on manufacturing and has embraced the use of the latest technologies in sectors such as renewable energy and electric vehicles, as the Kingdom embarks on ambitious plans to transform traditionally industrial cities into modern smart cities.

“The investors coming to these cities (will find) a ‘plug-and-play’ kind of support,” he said, as authorities take steps to attract businesses and global talent to work and invest, and to establish the country as a regional hub for technological research, development and innovation.

The Kingdom’s Future Factories Program, for example, aims to provide training initiatives and loans to help 4,000 factories adopt new technologies, embrace automation and improve manufacturing efficiency.

“We’re very bold when it comes to testing new ideas and technologies,” Alkhorayef added, which makes it “interesting for new players to see (Saudi Arabia) as a place where they can not only seek financing or investment but also a place to test and pilot certain ideas.”

Such endeavors are endorsed by some of the country’s biggest corporations, including the chemical manufacturing company SABIC, the petroleum company Aramco, and the mining giant Maaden. Aramco, for example, has already adopted new technologies, including AI, to enhance productivity and reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

Alkhorayef was speaking during a WEF discussion titled “Next-Gen Industrial Infrastructure.” The other panelists included representatives of the African Union Commission, businesses and consulting firms.

Currently, up to 50 percent of Saudi Arabia’s deep-tech startups are focused on the development of AI or the Internet of Things, Alkhorayef said, as the country increasingly adopts digitalization in the public and private sectors.

The Saudi Data and AI Authority, established in 2019 to regulate and promote the national agenda for a data-driven economy, has said that AI is making significant contributions to operational efficiency. In 2023, global spending on AI exceeded $120 billion, with more than 72 percent of organizations incorporating the technology into at least one business area.

“We believe that adopting technology in the mining sector will lead to safer, more productive and energy-efficient mines,” Alkhorayef said by way of an example, adding that it is essential that authorities consider environmental protection as they seek to strike the right balance between the interests of investors and the local community.

“Making digitalization accessible is an important part of what we do (in the Kingdom),” he said. “It involves regulation, cybersecurity, human capital training, and investing in incubators to work and learn.

“In every sector, such as food, energy or mining, (we always ask) the question of how technology could be helpful.”


Saudi economic success driven by ‘key North Star, not egos,’ says finance minister at WEF

Saudi economic success driven by ‘key North Star, not egos,’ says finance minister at WEF
Updated 24 January 2025
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Saudi economic success driven by ‘key North Star, not egos,’ says finance minister at WEF

Saudi economic success driven by ‘key North Star, not egos,’ says finance minister at WEF
  • Mohammed Al-Jadaan highlights Kingdom’s shift from short-term budgets to longer-term fiscal planning, ensuring clear priorities and disciplined spending
  • Transformation driven by clear decisions and significant investments led to strong economic performance, adds economic planning chief Faisal Al-Ibrahim

DAVOS: Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan on Thursday said that the Kingdom’s economic planners were being driven by their “North Star” and not egos as they look to maintain growth in the economy.

Speaking on a panel about the Saudi economy at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, Al-Jadaan highlighted Saudi Arabia’s shift from short-term budgets to longer-term fiscal planning, ensuring clear priorities and disciplined spending.

He said that there was flexibility and a readiness within the government to adapt plans based on global circumstances. “I’ve said this repeatedly, we don’t have egos. We are willing to change depending on circumstances and we will continue to do that. We will prioritize what matters,” he said.

“Our key North Star is what is driving us, and the tools can change, the means can change. It’s really that North Star that we are looking forward to,” he said.

He emphasized the progress and resilience of Saudi Arabia’s economy under Vision 2030, noting that the plan had mobilized the entire nation — government, businesses, right down to citizens — toward clear, long-term goals.

He attributed this success to visionary leadership, tough decision-making and consistent execution, adding that this approach could be a universal “recipe” for unlocking global potential.

On the Saudi-US relationship, Al-Jadaan highlighted its strategic importance over the past eight decades, emphasizing that Saudi Arabia had maintained strong economic, diplomatic and security ties with Washington, regardless of the administration in power, whether Republican or Democrat.

He described the partnership as a “win-win situation” that remained vital and was likely to endure into the foreseeable future.

Al-Jadaan was joined on the panel by Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim, who attributed the Kingdom’s strong economic performance to a first wave of transformation driven by clear, courageous decisions and significant investments, not only financially but also in terms of effort and planning.

Looking ahead, Al-Ibrahim stressed that the next phase of Vision 2030 would focus on addressing more complex challenges, particularly in enabling the private sector.

He emphasized the goal of increasing the private sector’s contribution to 65 percent of GDP by fostering collaboration, co-developing opportunities and creating an environment where private enterprises could take the lead in driving economic growth.

Key priorities include enhancing institutional capabilities, ensuring policy clarity and predictability, and addressing barriers to innovation-driven entrepreneurship, he said.

Al-Ibrahim also underlined the government’s commitment to working closely with the private sector, noting that ministers and their teams often worked long hours to respond to and engage with private enterprises. This collaborative approach, he said, was deeply embedded in the country’s Vision 2030 blueprint for economic transformation.

IMF Chief Kristalina Georgieva, who was also on the panel, praised Saudi Arabia’s transformation efforts, highlighting the country’s ability to create an appealing environment for business and tourism.

She commended its forward-thinking approach in engaging the private sector to diversify experiences and attract repeat visitors. Referring to her visit to AlUla, she said: “I didn’t know what to expect, but I came out thinking it was great we decided to open our regional office in Riyadh.”

Georgieva also noted Saudi Arabia’s strategic planning to host global events and foster economic growth. She described the country as a “good example of transformation” that others could look to for inspiration in creating dynamic, sustainable growth through proactive planning and investment.
 

 


Lebanon’s inflation rate drops to 45% in 2024, marking a return to double-digit figures

Lebanon’s inflation rate drops to 45% in 2024, marking a return to double-digit figures
Updated 23 January 2025
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Lebanon’s inflation rate drops to 45% in 2024, marking a return to double-digit figures

Lebanon’s inflation rate drops to 45% in 2024, marking a return to double-digit figures
  • Monthly inflation also increased by 2.38% in December, marking the third consecutive monthly rise
  • Key contributors included miscellaneous goods and services, which rose 39.69% annually

RIYADH: Lebanon’s economic landscape showed signs of stabilization in 2024, with inflation rates returning to double-digit levels after three years of hyperinflation that had exceeded 200 percent.

The annual inflation rate stood at 45.24 percent last year, a substantial drop from the staggering 221.3 percent recorded in 2023, according to data from the Central Administration of Statistics.

Lebanon has endured prolonged economic instability, with the Lebanese lira losing 90 percent of its value since the crisis began in 2019. The drop in inflation aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s October forecast, which projected inflation in the Middle East and North Africa region to ease to 3.3 percent in 2024.

Last year represented a period of relative calm in terms of price volatility. Monthly inflation indices revealed a deceleration in price growth. The index for December reached 30,936.02, compared to 30,147.41 in November, showing a modest increase compared to the unpredictable fluctuations of prior years.

The slowdown in inflation is largely due to the stabilization of the Lebanese lira, driven by Banque du Liban’s monetary policies since 2023. By the spring of last year, the exchange rate had settled at around 89,500 Lebanese liras per dollar, following a sharp rise from 40,000 to 140,000 earlier in 2023.

This stability helped bring annual inflation below 100 percent in April, reaching 18.1 percent by December, though the same month’s inflation rose slightly from November’s 15.38 percent.

Monthly inflation also increased by 2.38 percent in December, marking the third consecutive monthly rise, following 2.02 percent in October and 2.30 percent in November. 

Key contributors to inflation in December included miscellaneous goods and services, which rose 39.69 percent annually, education fees at 31.27 percent, and health care at 22.93 percent. Only communications and furniture saw price declines at 2.99 percent and 1.99 percent, respectively.

Lebanon’s state-owned telecom firm, Ogero, said it is working to restore and expand its connectivity. The firm’s Chairman and Director General Imad Kreidieh announced in a live broadcast on Jan. 21 that the company’s expansion plans will resume, supported by funding from multiple donors.

North Lebanon recorded the highest monthly increase in December at 3.79 percent, followed by Beirut and Nabatieh at 3.59 percent, and South Lebanon at 2.97 percent.

The drop in inflation offers some relief to the Lebanese people, but with the election of former army commander Joseph Aoun as president on Jan. 9 and the appointment of the Chief Judge of the International Court of Justice, Nawaf Salam, as prime minister on Jan. 13, the need for comprehensive reform remains urgent.

The political breakthrough has also sparked a rally in Lebanon’s government bonds, which have nearly tripled in value since September. The election of Aoun, following 12 failed attempts to choose a president, has raised hopes that Lebanon might finally address its economic challenges. 

Most of the country’s international bonds, in default since 2020, rallied further after Aoun’s election, rising by nearly 0.9 cents on the dollar to around 16 cents — a modest recovery that underscores investor optimism despite Lebanon’s ongoing struggles.


Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding terminates $1.8bn fund deal with Sumou, JEC

Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding terminates $1.8bn fund deal with Sumou, JEC
Updated 23 January 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding terminates $1.8bn fund deal with Sumou, JEC

Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom Holding terminates $1.8bn fund deal with Sumou, JEC

JEDDAH: Saudi-based conglomerate Kingdom Holding Co. has confirmed the termination of its SR6.8 billion ($1.8 billion) fund agreement with Sumou Holding Co. and Jeddah Economic Co., following a mutual decision by all parties.

In a filing with the Tadawul stock exchange, KHC said the move, effective Jan. 23, imposes no obligations on any party, adding that this decision was reached as the primary purpose of the fund is no longer applicable.

Progress continues on the fund’s main asset, Jeddah Tower, with the Saudi Binladin Group reinstated and work resuming at an accelerated pace. Technical and consulting teams are now in place and have commenced on-site operations.

The release added that the Alinma Jeddah Economic City Fund, fully owned by JEC – an associate firm – remains operational, saying that KHC continues to support the project’s development.

In July, the three firms signed an agreement to establish a new fund to acquire the Alinma Jeddah Economic Fund, whose investors would include the three companies, with KHC owning 40 percent of the new fund.

In a Tadawul announcement, KHC said last year that the financial impact of the agreement would be disclosed once JEC completed updating its accounting records.

The latest announcement said the concrete was poured for the 64th floor of the tower in the presence of the partners, headed by Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, KHC’s chairman of the board of directors.

It added that the partners were giving their utmost attention and oversight to this global symbol, which aligns with Saudi Vision 2030.

Jeddah Economic City aims to showcase its pioneering ambitions through the Jeddah Tower, envisioned as a new wonder of the world and a symbol of Jeddah’s renaissance. The tower also reflects the city’s rich commercial heritage spanning thousands of years, according to the company’s website.

Set to stand over 1 km. tall, the tower will be the centerpiece of the Jeddah Tower Waterfront District.