Giga-projects propel Saudi Arabia’s construction boom amid global interest, study says

Giga-projects propel Saudi Arabia’s construction boom amid global interest, study says
The report highlighted that despite political uncertainties, substantial investments are driving growth in the Gulf region as countries seek to diversify beyond traditional energy sources. Shutterstock
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Updated 12 December 2024
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Giga-projects propel Saudi Arabia’s construction boom amid global interest, study says

Giga-projects propel Saudi Arabia’s construction boom amid global interest, study says

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s state-backed initiatives, including NEOM and Vision 2030, are driving growth in the construction sector, attracting substantial domestic and international investments, an analysis showed.    

In its latest report, global consultancy firm Turner & Townsend highlighted that the construction activities are also driven by the Kingdom’s preparations for EXPO 2030 and the 2034 FIFA World Cup.   

This comes as Saudi Arabia emerged as the leader in global construction activity for the first quarter, with the Kingdom having $1.5 trillion of projects in the pipeline, according to a report released earlier this month by real estate services firm JLL. 

The JLL analysis further highlighted that the Kingdom accounted for a 39 percent share of the total construction projects in the Middle East and North Africa region, valued at $3.9 trillion. 

“The stand-out story is the accelerated development of Saudi Arabia, where vast ambitions are being realized via projects like The Line, King Salman Park and Diriyah Gate,” said Mark Hamill, director and head of Middle East real estate and major programs, at Turner & Townsend.   

The Line is a linear smart city currently under construction in Saudi Arabia’s $500-billion megacity NEOM, while King Salman Park is a 4102-acre large-scale public park and urban district which is being developed in Riyadh.   

The report highlighted that despite political uncertainties, substantial investments are driving growth in the Gulf region as countries seek to diversify beyond traditional energy sources.  

This occurs against the backdrop of Turner & Townsend ranking the Kingdom as the 19th most expensive country for construction globally, contrasting sharply with the US, which dominated the top 10 list. 

The report further noted that construction cost inflation in Riyadh is easing from the highs of 7.0 percent seen in 2023, but is forecasted to remain high at 5.0 percent through 2024.   

The analysis also highlighted Saudi Arabia’s efforts to attract global corporate occupiers through its Regional Headquarters Program.  

It added: “This scheme encourages companies to launch offices in Saudi Arabia and there are cost advantages to office investment with an average high-rise central business district office in Riyadh costing a relatively low $2,266 per sq. m.”   

The UK-based company also pointed out that Saudi Arabia is also facing a shortage of skilled labor which is crucial to materialize and fulfill construction activities as planned.   

“Skilled labor shortages are also keeping costs elevated as Saudi Arabia suffers from a distinct shortage of skilled labor that is vital to deliver its most ambitious programs. The talent and resources needed for giga-projects in the country are also stretching overall supply chain capacity across the Middle East,” said the report.     

Regional insight  

According to the report, Qatar’s capital city Doha is the second most expensive market in the region at $2,096 per sq. m.   

However, following the high output in the lead-up to the 2022 FIFA World Cup, construction cost inflation is projected to fall from 3.5 percent in 2023 to 2.5 percent in 2024, the study said.   

On the other hand, Dubai has an average cost to build of $1,874 per sq. m., supported by high tourism activity and residential sector development.  

“The UAE has been a hotspot for tourism in the region in recent years and its relatively low cost of construction, when compared with Western markets, still makes it an attractive place to build the hubs and amenities for international visitors,” said the report.     

It added: “In Dubai, residential development is buoying the local market as the city aims to support its growing population. Its attractiveness as a market is bolstered by its comparably low cost of construction.”   

On the other hand, Abu Dhabi is the fourth most expensive market in the Middle East at $1,844.2 per sq. m.   

Hamill noted that there are considerable real estate opportunities in the UAE and Qatar as inflation cools.   

He added: “Nevertheless, with labor capacity being stretched across the region, clients will need to review their procurement and contracting models to help mitigate supply chain disruption and maximize the potential opportunities on offer.”   

Global outlook  

The report revealed that construction pipelines globally are set to grow this year, but skill shortage could remain a major concern.   

“The global real estate market is emerging from a challenging period of inflationary pressures, volatility and disruption. Our sector has proved resilient, and a focus on building new approaches to procurement and supply chain development to drive efficiency and productivity is opening new opportunities across many markets,” said Neil Bullen, managing director, global real estate at Turner & Townsend.   

He added: “Clients need to understand where labor bottlenecks may constrain their capital investment programs and work collaboratively with the supply chain to understand how best to mitigate the risk to delivery.”   

The US dominated the rankings of the most expensive places to build, with six cities from the country grabbing their spots in the top 10 list.   

New York retained its position as the most expensive market to build in for the second year running at an average cost of $5,723 per sq. m., closely followed by San Francisco at $5,489.   

Zurich came in the third spot as it surpassed Geneva in the ranking with an average cost of $5,035 per sq. m. Geneva, which came in the fourth spot, averaged $5,022 per sq. m.   

US cities Los Angeles, Boston, Seattle and Chicago came in the fifth, sixth, seventh and eighth spots respectively in the list.   

From Asia, Hong Kong came in the ninth spot with an average cost of $4,500, followed by London at $4,473.   

The report also highlighted that implementing technology in the construction sector could help overcome various challenges faced by the industry.   

“Accelerating digitalization also presents a huge opportunity, but this requires us to keep up with the demand for skilled labor, and persistent shortages risk constraining potential growth,” said Bullen.   

He added: “As interest rate cuts become an increasing possibility for many markets, and pent-up investor appetite can be unlocked, capacity could be tested still further.” 


Chief economists expect global economic conditions to weaken in 2025

Chief economists expect global economic conditions to weaken in 2025
Updated 16 January 2025
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Chief economists expect global economic conditions to weaken in 2025

Chief economists expect global economic conditions to weaken in 2025

DUBAI: More than half of chief economists expect economic conditions to weaken in 2025, according to a World Economic Forum report released on Thursday.

“The growth outlook is at its weakest in decades and political developments both domestically and internationally highlight how contested economic policy has become,” said Aengus Collins, head of Economic Growth and Transformation at the WEF.

The outlook is more positive in the US, with 44 percent of chief economists predicting strong growth in 2025, up from 15 percent last year. However, 97 of respondents in the “Chief Economists Outlook” report said they expected public debt levels to rise, while 94 percent forecast higher inflation.

Europe, on the other hand, remains the weakest region for the third consecutive year, with 74 percent of economists expecting weak or very weak growth.

In the Middle East and North Africa region, 64 percent expect moderate growth while a quarter expect weak growth.

Collins said the global economy was under “considerable strain,” worsened by increasing pressure on integration between economies.

A total of 94 percent of economists predict further fragmentation of goods trade over the next three years, while 59 percent expect the same for services trade. More than 75 percent foresee higher barriers to labor mobility and almost two-thirds expect rising constraints on technology and data transfers.

The report suggests that political developments, supply chain challenges and security concerns are critical factors that will likely drive up costs for both businesses and consumers over the next three years.

Businesses are expected to respond by restructuring supply chains (91 percent), regionalizing operations (90 percent), focusing on core markets (79 percent) or exiting high-risk markets (76 percent).

When the economists were asked about the factors contributing to current levels of fragmentation, more than 90 percent pointed to geopolitical rivalries.

This is largely due to the “strategic rivalry” between the US and China, according to the report, along with other geopolitical disturbances, particularly in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Global fragmentation is likely to result in a more strained global landscape with chief economists expecting an increase in the risk of conflict (88 percent), a more bipolar system (79 percent) and a widening divide between the Global North and South (64 percent).

“In this environment, fostering a spirit of collaboration will require more commitment and creativity than ever,” Collins said.


Australian-Saudi Business Council hosts joint forum to help boost trade

Australian-Saudi Business Council hosts joint forum to help boost trade
Updated 16 January 2025
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Australian-Saudi Business Council hosts joint forum to help boost trade

Australian-Saudi Business Council hosts joint forum to help boost trade
  • Event brought together more than 35 participants from both nations to discuss key opportunities for trade and investment

RIYADH: The Australian-Saudi Business Council hosted a joint forum on Thursday to discuss the enhancement of collaboration and trade between the two countries.

Led by Daniel Jamsheedi, the council’s country director, the event brought together more than 35 participants from both nations to discuss key opportunities for trade and investment.

The event, a collaboration with the Federation of Saudi Chambers, aimed to build on the success of the first Australian Pavilion at the Future Minerals Forum in Riyadh this week, and further strengthen the economic partnership between the two countries, organizers said.

Sam Jamsheedi, the president of the council, thanked the federation for the vital role it played in the success of the forum.

“The Federation of Saudi Chambers is one of our key stakeholders and our partner within the Kingdom,” he said.

“As a business council, we appreciate the efforts put in to enable this joint business forum to succeed.”


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 12,256 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 12,256 
Updated 16 January 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 12,256 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 12,256 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Thursday, gaining 43.82 points, or 0.36 percent, to close at 12,256.06. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.14 billion ($1.63 billion), with 104 stocks advancing and 129 retreating. 

Similarly, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 198.90 points, or 0.64 percent, to close at 31,498.71, as 51 of the listed stocks advanced and 37 retreated. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index also rose, gaining 9.13 points, or 0.60 percent, to close at 1,535.78.

The best-performing stock of the day was Shatirah House Restaurant Co., which debuted on the main market. Its share price surged 5.31 percent to SR22.62. 

Other top performers included Fourth Milling Co., with its share price rising 4.49 percent to SR4.19, and Saudi Paper Manufacturing Co., whose share price surged 3.36 percent to SR67.70. 

Riyadh Cables Group Co. recorded the biggest drop, falling 2.88 percent to SR141.80. 

National Co. for Learning and Education also saw its stock price fall 2.73 percent to SR185.40. 

Buruj Cooperative Insurance Co. also saw a drop in its stock price, falling 2.63 percent to SR22.22. 

On the announcements front, the Arab National Bank has launched the offer of its SR-denominated additional tier 1 capital sukuk under its sukuk program.  

According to a Tadawul statement, the amount, terms, and return on the sukuk will be determined later based on market conditions. The minimum subscription and par value are set at SR1 million. 

The targeted investors are institutional and qualified clients in line with the Capital Market Authority’s regulations. HSBC Saudi Arabia and ANB Capital Co. are joint lead managers for the sukuk issuance. 

Arab National Bank ended the session at SR21.10, with no change in price. 

Tam Development Co. received a purchase order for a project worth SR29.45 million as part of a framework agreement with a government agency announced in March, with a total value of SR200 million. 

Tam Development Co. ended the session at SR200, up 3.45 percent. 

Saudi Real Estate Co. secured Shariah-compliant banking facilities from Bank Al-Jazira worth SR700 million. The facilities will finance ongoing and new projects, as well as expansion investments. 

Part of the financing, up to SR100 million, will support working capital requirements. The loans have a one-year short-term tenure and a maximum of ten years for long-term loans, with promissory notes and real estate mortgages as guarantees. 

Saudi Real Estate Co. ended the session at SR27.30, down 2.01 percent. 


Saudi Ma’aden awards $921m contracts for its 3rd phosphate fertilizer plant

Saudi Ma’aden awards $921m contracts for its 3rd phosphate fertilizer plant
Updated 16 January 2025
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Saudi Ma’aden awards $921m contracts for its 3rd phosphate fertilizer plant

Saudi Ma’aden awards $921m contracts for its 3rd phosphate fertilizer plant
  • Project designed to add 3 million metric tonnes annually to Kingdom’s phosphate production capacity
  • Contracts align with Saudi Arabia’s broader strategy to diversify its economy and expand its industrial base

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabian Mining Co. has awarded three contracts worth SR3.45 billion ($921.58 million) for its third phosphate fertilizer plant, reinforcing the Kingdom’s position in the global market.

In a filing with the Tadawul stock exchange, the national mining firm, also known as Ma’aden, named the contractors as China National Chemical Engineering Co., Sinopec Nanjing Engineering and Construction, and Turkiye-based Tekfen Construction and Installation Co.

First announced in 2016, the project is designed to add 3 million metric tonnes annually to Saudi Arabia’s phosphate production capacity. Estimated to cost SR24 billion, the facility is being developed in phases and was initially projected to reach full capacity by 2024, the company said at that time.

The contracts align with Saudi Arabia’s broader strategy to diversify its economy and expand its industrial base. As part of Vision 2030, the Kingdom is capitalizing on its vast reserves of phosphate, gold, copper, and bauxite to reduce its reliance on oil.

Valued at approximately $2.5 trillion, the Saudi mining sector is regarded as the fastest-growing globally and is positioned as the third pillar of its industrial economy.

The three contracts awarded include an SR1.22 billion agreement for general construction at Ras Al-Khair with China National Chemical Engineering. A second contract, worth SR1.36 billion, was awarded to Sinopec’s subsidiary for construction at Wa’ad Al-Shamal. Tekfen Construction secured the third contract at SR877 million, with work at Wa’ad Al-Shamal included.

The development aligns with Ma’aden’s 2016 announcement of a feasibility study for a world-class phosphate fertilizer production complex in Wa’ad Al-Shamal Minerals Industrial City, situated in Saudi Arabia’s Northern Province.

Ma’aden announced significant discoveries of gold and copper in the Arabian Shield region during the Future Minerals Forum 2025 in Riyadh, further advancing its mining ambitions.

The discoveries include extensive gold deposits at Wadi Al-Jaww and copper reserves at Jabal Shayban. Mineralization at these sites extends from shallow depths of 20 meters to depths of up to 200 meters, highlighting their potential for large-scale extraction, the company added.

Ma’aden also unveiled promising developments at its Mansourah-Massarah gold mine, where drilling has revealed high-grade gold mineralization beyond the current pit design. 

The financial impact of these discoveries is yet to be determined, Ma’aden said in a statement to the stock exchange.


MENA economic growth to accelerate to 2.9% in 2025, says Moody’s

MENA economic growth to accelerate to 2.9% in 2025, says Moody’s
Updated 16 January 2025
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MENA economic growth to accelerate to 2.9% in 2025, says Moody’s

MENA economic growth to accelerate to 2.9% in 2025, says Moody’s

RIYADH: Oil production and large investment projects will accelerate annual economic growth across the Middle East and North Africa by 0.8 percentage points in 2025, according to Moody’s.

The global credit rating agency forecasts growth of 2.9 percent this year, up from 2.1 percent in 2024, and also  maintained a stable outlook for the credit fundamentals of sovereigns in the region over the next 12 months.

The agency emphasized that the impact of large investments will be most evident in Saudi Arabia, driven by high government and sovereign wealth fund spending linked to the Vision 2030 diversification program.

The projections align with those of global consultancy Oxford Economics, which expects regional gross domestic product to grow by 3.6 percent in 2025, outpacing the firm’s global forecast of 2.8 percent. 

Moody’s added that the pickup in the MENA economy will be driven primarily by “stronger growth in the region’s hydrocarbon exporters because of a partial unwinding of strategic oil production cuts under the OPEC+ agreement.”

Alexander Perjessy, vice president and senior credit officer at Moody’s, said: “Large-scale investment projects, many of them part of longer-term government development and diversification agendas, will support non-hydrocarbon economic activity across the region.”

According to the credit rating agency, real gross domestic product growth for hydrocarbon-exporting nations is expected to rise to 3.5 percent in 2025, up from 1.9 percent in the previous year, as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Kuwait, and Oman ease the oil production cuts implemented in 2023.

In Qatar, growth in the small, gas-rich nation will be bolstered by the development of the petrochemical industry and construction activities related to the expansion of liquefied natural gas production capacity, set to come online between 2026 and 2030.

In Kuwait, non-hydrocarbon growth will be mainly driven by major projects, including the construction of a new port and a new airport terminal.

Meanwhile, Iraq’s non-hydrocarbon growth is expected to remain above pre-COVID levels, provided that improved domestic security conditions are sustained, driven by the gradual implementation of several transport and energy projects.

In the UAE, non-hydrocarbon growth will moderate slightly due to the completion of some infrastructure projects; however, it will remain robust, at around 5 percent in 2025.