Oil Updates – prices slip as risk premium eases after Iran attack

Update Oil Updates – prices slip as risk premium eases after Iran attack
Brent futures for June delivery fell 50 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $89.95 a barrel by 9:30 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 15 April 2024
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Oil Updates – prices slip as risk premium eases after Iran attack

Oil Updates – prices slip as risk premium eases after Iran attack

LONDON: Oil prices drifted lower on Monday, with the market downplaying the risk of broader regional conflagration after Iran’s weekend attack on Israel.

Brent futures for June delivery fell 70 cents, or about 0.8 percent, to $89.75 a barrel by 2:33 p.m. Saudi time while West Texas Intermediate futures for May delivery were down 74 cents, or about 0.9 percent, at $84.92.

Oil benchmarks had risen on Friday in anticipation of Iran’s retaliatory attack, with prices touching their highest since October.

Iran’s attack involved more than 300 missiles and drones, and was the first on Israel by another country in more than three decades, raising fears of a broader regional conflict affecting oil traffic through the Middle East.

Iran saying it considers its retaliation to be over has lowered the geopolitical temperature, said Kpler analyst Viktor Katona, while John Evans at oil broker PVM said the Iranian drone and missile attack was “about as telegraphed a world event that people can remember.”

The attack, which Iran called retaliation for an air strike on its Damascus consulate, caused only modest damage, with missiles shot down by Israel’s Iron Dome defense system.

“An attack was largely priced in over the days leading up to it. Also the limited damage and the fact that there was no loss of life means that maybe Israel’s response will be more measured,” said Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING.

Iran produces more than 3 million barrels per day of crude oil as a major producer within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Middle East hostilities centered on the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza have had little tangible impact on oil supply so far.

“If the crisis does not escalate to a point that creates supply disruptions, then there will be downside risk over time, but only once it becomes clear Israel has chosen a measured response,” said Amrita Sen, founder and director of research at Energy Aspects. 


Saudi banks’ new residential mortgages rise 17% to $24bn

Saudi banks’ new residential mortgages rise 17% to $24bn
Updated 8 sec ago
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Saudi banks’ new residential mortgages rise 17% to $24bn

Saudi banks’ new residential mortgages rise 17% to $24bn
  • Saudi Central Bank data show highest issuance in 2 years
  • Home ownership at 63.74% in 2023, goal of 70% by 2030

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s banks issued SR91.1 billion ($24.28 billion) in new residential mortgages to individuals in 2024 — a 17 percent rise on the previous year, according to official data.

Figures from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, show that this is the highest annual mortgage issuance in two years.

The fourth quarter of 2024 accounted for 33 percent of the total, likely coinciding with the declining interest rate environment. This trend underscores the strong demand for home financing in the Kingdom, as well as the impact of monetary policy shifts on borrowing costs.

The Kingdom is steadily progressing toward its goal of 70 percent home ownership by the end of the decade.

According to the latest official data from the Housing Program — an initiative under Vision 2030 — Saudi family home ownership reached 63.74 percent in 2023.

As economic diversification initiatives continue to boost housing development and home-ownership aspirations, the Kingdom’s mortgage landscape is expected to remain dynamic, influenced by both global and domestic trends.

The increase in residential mortgage issuance signals growing confidence in Saudi Arabia’s real estate market. With declining interest rates and ongoing government efforts to expand home ownership, the Kingdom’s housing sector appears poised for sustained growth in the years ahead.

One of the key factors influencing mortgage rates in Saudi Arabia is the Saudi Interbank Offered Rate, or SAIBOR, which serves as a benchmark for floating-rate loans.

Given the Saudi riyal’s peg to the US dollar, fluctuations in interest rates in the North American country have a direct impact on SAIBOR and, consequently, on borrowing costs in the Kingdom.

In September, the US Federal Reserve initiated a shift in monetary policy, cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. This was followed by two additional rate reductions of 25 basis points each in November and December.

The easing of US monetary policy translated into lower SAIBOR rates, making home financing more accessible and contributing to the notable expansion of residential lending.

While the recent decline in mortgage rates has fueled demand, future SAIBOR movements will be contingent on multiple factors, including the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory, Saudi Arabia’s economic conditions, and banking sector liquidity.

At the third Public Investment Fund Private Sector Forum in Riyadh this month, Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Municipalities and Housing Majid Al-Hogail announced that 65 local developers have invested over SR200 billion in the housing sector, highlighting the private sector’s key role in urban development.

Al-Hogail emphasized that Vision 2030 is driving a transformation in Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector, with developments ranging from affordable housing to luxury projects.

He also stressed the need to redefine city planning to align with economic diversification and the Kingdom’s rapidly growing urban population.

According to the minister, the municipal and housing sectors contributed over 16 percent to Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product in 2024, while the real estate and construction sectors attracted nearly 16 percent of total foreign investment inflows.

He further noted that residential transactions in Riyadh increased by 51.6 percent between July 2023 and July 2024, totaling 18,500 sales valued at SR26.6 billion, citing a report from real estate services firm CBRE.

Al-Hogail also highlighted the remarkable growth in real estate financing, stating that the banking sector’s real estate financing portfolio expanded from SR165 billion to over SR850 billion.

He attributed this growth to a stimulating and supportive investment environment, which, he said, has reached a favorable stage for both local and international private sector players.

Saudi Arabia’s banks are adopting multiple strategies to enhance liquidity and sustain real estate lending growth. One key approach is issuing sukuk and conventional bonds to strengthen their capital base, ensuring they have sufficient funds to continue mortgage lending.

Additionally, the Saudi Real Estate Refinance Co. plays a vital role by purchasing mortgages from banks, freeing up liquidity for new loans and improving market stability.

Government support also remains a crucial factor, with initiatives from the Ministry of Housing and the Real Estate Development Fund providing guarantees and subsidies that reduce banks’ lending risks and encourage further mortgage issuance.

Furthermore, Saudi Arabia’s banks are diversifying their funding sources by forming partnerships with global investors and foreign banks, attracting more capital into the real estate financing sector.

At the same time, digital transformation is playing an increasing role, with banks integrating fintech solutions, automated credit assessments, and digital mortgage platforms to streamline loan processing, reduce operational costs, and improve accessibility for borrowers.

These combined efforts are helping banks maintain a steady flow of liquidity while supporting the Kingdom’s growing real estate sector.


Oil Updates — crude steady, heads for weekly gain amid improving demand, supply jitters

Oil Updates — crude steady, heads for weekly gain amid improving demand, supply jitters
Updated 21 February 2025
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Oil Updates — crude steady, heads for weekly gain amid improving demand, supply jitters

Oil Updates — crude steady, heads for weekly gain amid improving demand, supply jitters

TOKYO/SINGAPORE: Oil prices were steady on Friday and poised for a weekly increase amid an improving outlook for demand in the US and China, while concerns over supply disruptions in Russia also lent support.

Brent futures dipped 3 cents to $76.45 a barrel by 7:14 a.m. Saudi time while US West Texas Intermediate crude edged down 4 cents to $72.44.

Both indexes have gained over 2 percent this week — the largest weekly advances since early January. Brent would be marking a second week of gains after three weeks of declines. WTI is set to have its first week of gains after four weeks of declines.

Global oil demand has averaged 103.4 million barrels per day through Feb. 19, a 1.4 million bpd increase, JPMorgan analysts said in a note on Friday.

They expect cold weather in the US and increased industrial activity in China as people return from holidays to contribute more demand in the coming week.

US crude oil stockpiles rose while gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week as seasonal maintenance at refineries led to lower processing, the Energy Information Administration said on Thursday.

“Drawdowns of US gasoline and distillate stockpiles, along with concerns over tight supplies in Russia, are supporting oil prices,” said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities.

“Expectations for a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, which could ease sanctions on Moscow, have faded somewhat due to Ukraine’s hardened stance, prompting some investors to buy back into the market,” he added.

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky earlier in the week was enraged by US and Russian moves to negotiate a peace deal without Kyiv and comments by US President Donald Trump blaming Ukraine for starting the three-year-old conflict with Moscow.

However, following a meeting with Trump’s envoy for the Ukraine conflict on Thursday, Zelensky said Ukraine was ready to work quickly to produce a strong agreement on investments and security with the US.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg Television on Thursday that Russia could win some relief from US sanctions based on its willingness to negotiate an end to its war in Ukraine.
Meanwhile, disruptions to oil supply continued to keep prices elevated.

Russia said Caspian Pipeline Consortium oil flows, a major route for crude exports from Kazakhstan, were reduced by 30 percent-40 percent on Tuesday after a Ukraine drone attack on a pumping station.

Kazakhstan has pumped record high oil volumes despite damage on its main export route via Russia, the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, industry sources said on Thursday. It was not immediately clear how Kazakhstan had been able to pump record volumes. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,388   

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,388   
Updated 20 February 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,388   

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,388   

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index edged up on Thursday, gaining 70.56 points, or 0.57 percent, to close at 12,388.15. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR5.95 billion ($1.58 billion), as 95 of the listed stocks advanced, while 137 retreated.    

The MSCI Tadawul Index increased by 13.19 points, or 0.86 percent, to close at 1,551.49. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu rose, gaining 44.37 points, or 0.14 percent, to close at 31,474.69. This came as 40 of the listed stocks advanced, while 47 retreated. 

The best-performing stock was Anaam International Holding Group, with its share price surging by 6.33 percent to SR23.84. 

Other top performers included Etihad Etisalat Co., which saw its share price rise by 5.35 percent to SR63, and Tourism Enterprise Co., which saw a 4.65 percent increase to SR0.90. 

The biggest decline of the day was seen in Al Sagr Cooperative Insurance Co., with its share price dropping 9.83 percent to SR15.96. 

Saudi Steel Pipe Co. saw its share price drop 6.77 percent to close at SR67.50, while Astra Industrial Group fell 4.81 percent to SR182, reflecting broader market pressures.

Following this, Saudi Steel Pipe Co. reported its annual results for 2024, with net profits rising 15.21 percent year-on-year to SR250 million. 

In a Tadawul filing, the company said the profit increase was driven by a rise in gross profit to SR399 million in 2024 from SR283 million the previous year, largely due to higher sales volumes. 

Astra Industrial Group reported interim financial results for the period ending Dec. 31, with net profits rising 23.99 percent year on year to SR589.34 million. 

The company attributed the growth to higher gross profit across all sectors, increased sales value, and a rise in other income. 

Meanwhile, shares of Yamama Cement Co. fell 1.89 percent on the main market today, closing at SR36.25. 

In a separate announcement, Nayifat Finance Co. posted its annual results for 2024, with net profits surging 47.93 percent to SR131.23 million. 

The company credited the profit increase to higher operational earnings, driven by a decline in the net charge for expected credit loss allowance due to improved write-off recoveries. 

In today’s trading, Nayifat Finance Co.’s shares edged up 0.83 percent on the main market to close at SR14.74. 


Qurayyah power plant to expand by 3.01 GW thanks to $3.6bn investment

Qurayyah power plant to expand by 3.01 GW thanks to $3.6bn investment
Updated 20 February 2025
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Qurayyah power plant to expand by 3.01 GW thanks to $3.6bn investment

Qurayyah power plant to expand by 3.01 GW thanks to $3.6bn investment

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia is boosting its energy security with an SR13.4 billion ($3.57 billion) investment to expand the Qurayyah power plant, adding 3.01 gigawatts to meet growing demand and support economic growth.

Saudi Electricity Co. and ACWA Power have signed a power purchase agreement with Saudi Power Procurement Co., the Kingdom’s sole licensed electricity buyer, to expand Qurayyah Independent Power Plant. This facility is the largest combined-cycle gas-fired independent energy station in the world.

The initiative supports the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 by improving electricity generation efficiency, reducing costs, and diversifying energy sources to replace liquid fuels in the power sector. It aims to enhance reliability and sustainability through advanced combined-cycle gas turbine technology while reducing carbon emissions and promoting environmental conservation.

The project, overseen by the Ministry of Energy, aims to increase Saudi Arabia’s electricity capacity and efficiency by adding combined-cycle power plant units designed for future carbon capture. According to the principal buyer, the deal was signed with a consortium led by ACWA Power, SEC, and Hajji Abdullah Alireza & Co. Ltd., with SEC and ACWA Power each holding a 40 percent stake.

As one of the Kingdom’s largest power generation projects, it includes the financing, construction, ownership, and operation of a combined-cycle gas power plant, along with the development and transfer of a 380-kilovolt electrical substation, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

SEC is the largest electricity producer, transmitter, and distributor in the Middle East and North Africa, serving over 11 million customers.

ACWA Power — the world’s largest private desalination company — announced that on Feb. 19 it received a notice from the Al-Shuaiba 2 Solar PV Independent Power Plant project company, confirming that it has been granted the commercial operation certificate by the SPPC for the first, second and third groups, with a total capacity of 2,060 MW.

In a statement on Tadawul, the firm added that the initiative is now fully operational, noting that it owns a net stake of 35.01 percent share in the project company.

The body expects the financial impact to be reflected in the current year’s second quarter.


Saudi investment ministry inks deal with Sana to boost entrepreneurial ecosystem in Al-Ahsa

Saudi investment ministry inks deal with Sana to boost entrepreneurial ecosystem in Al-Ahsa
Updated 20 February 2025
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Saudi investment ministry inks deal with Sana to boost entrepreneurial ecosystem in Al-Ahsa

Saudi investment ministry inks deal with Sana to boost entrepreneurial ecosystem in Al-Ahsa

RIYADH: A new cooperation agreement between the Ministry of Investment and Prince Ahmed bin Fahd bin Salman Center will see Saudi Arabia enhance its entrepreneurial ecosystem in the Al-Ahsa region.

The deal signed with the center, also known as Sana, focuses on attracting pioneering companies and innovators while fostering a business-friendly environment.

The Kingdom is increasingly being recognized for its growing enteprise-friendly landscape, securing third position in the 2023-2024 Global Entrepreneurship Monitor report.

The latest initiative, inked at the Al-Ahsa Forum 2025 in Al-Ahsa, also seeks to foster greater engagement with creative thinkers and business leaders through investment meetings and events, and will support the issuance of entrepreneurial licenses and provide access to essential services.

Moreover, the Sana agreement seeks to explore investment opportunities, encourage strategic partnerships, and promote investment alliances that enhance the competitiveness of the entrepreneurship sector in Saudi Arabia.

The new deal comes against a backdrop of venture capital pouring into the Kingdom, with the country retaining its position as the leading destination for such funds in the MENA region in 2024, raising $750 million, according to a report from regional venture platform MAGNiTT.

This marked the second consecutive year the Kingdom has led regional VC rankings. Saudi Arabia accounted for 40 percent of the total amount deployed in MENA, closing 178 deals, the most of any nation in the region.

Speaking to Arab News at at the LEAP 2025 Tech Conference held in February, Mohammed Al-Zubi —founder of Saudi venture capital firm Nama Ventures — explained that the nation is rapidly becoming a key player in the regional technology ecosystem and is emerging as the “center of gravity” for Middle East startups.

Al-Zubi believes Saudi Arabia’s support for the startup ecosystem is unmatched globally. Having spent time in Silicon Valley, London, and the Middle East, he argued that the Kingdom’s government-led initiatives are unparalleled.

According to the international policy advisory and research organization Startup Genome, Riyadh ranked among the top five startup ecosystems in the Middle East and North Africa in June, in collaboration with the Global Entrepreneurship Network.